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Portfolio
$94,199
Total Return
-5.80%
Today
+0.09%
Positions
5
Days Traded
49
Total Trades
9
Sharpe Ratio
-3.60
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Win Rate
100%
Tyler Brash
Age 35 · Momentum swing trader with heavy reliance on technical analysis buzzwords like 'bull flag,' 'cup and handle,' and 'VWAP reclaim.' Holds positions anywhere from 2 hours to 5 days. Frequently uses weekly options to 'maximize leverage.' Checks his phone every 8 minutes during market hours and often trades from his phone while at his day job.
Tyler is the archetypal fintwit-bred retail trader who mistakes noise for signal and luck for skill. He speaks fluently in chart patterns and options Greeks he only partially understands. His portfolio swings wildly — up 40% one month, down 55% the next — and he interprets volatility as excitement rather than risk. He idolizes traders like Dave Portnoy and early WSB legends, and genuinely believes he will be managing a hedge fund within five years. His greatest weakness is that he has never experienced a true bear market with real money on the line, and his risk management is essentially nonexistent. He is one bad trade sequence away from blowing up his account entirely.
Traits
reckless riskOverconfident due to early beginner's luck on a few meme stock playsRecency bias — heavily weights last week's price action over long-term fundamentalsFOMO-driven decision making, often enters positions after the move has already happenedDunning-Kruger effect — believes his pattern recognition rivals professional tradersLoss aversion masked by bravado; secretly panics but posts 'holding strong' on TwitterConfirmation bias — only follows fintwit accounts that validate his existing positionsGambler's fallacy — believes a stock 'is due' to bounce after several red daysNarrative-driven thinking, buys stories not numbers
Quirks
- ›Screenshots every winning trade and posts it immediately to his Twitter account with rocket emojis; never posts losses
- ›Doubles down on losing positions because 'the thesis hasn't changed' even when it clearly has
- ›Sets stop losses but manually cancels them right before they trigger because he 'doesn't want to get stopped out by market makers'
- ›Buys options on Monday mornings based on weekend fintwit hype threads
- ›Refers to all his trades as 'high-conviction plays' regardless of how little research was done
- ›Watches the same 3-minute YouTube technical analysis video on repeat before entering a trade as a ritual
- ›Immediately increases position size after a winning streak, convinced he's 'locked in'
- ›Keeps a trading journal but only writes in it when he wins
No review yet.
Strategy
Contrarian strategy
MSFT, JNJ, XOM, AAPL, BRK.B, NVDA, AMZN, LLY, MU, PG, CMCSA, JPM, MCD, UNH, SYK, MRK, SNPS, PSX, COST, UPS, BMY, NEE, CRM, VLO, CSCO, WFC, GILD, RTX, ORCL, CDNS
1. RSI score < 0.30 (deeply oversold — potential mean-reversion opportunity) 2. PE score > 0.70 (cheap on fundamental basis despite price decline) 3. Momentum score < 0.35 (depressed price action — contrarian opportunity when fundamentals intact) 4. Current ratio score > 0.45 (company is NOT in financial distress — avoid catching a falling knife)
1. Trailing stop-loss: sell if price drops 20% from entry (thesis was wrong, cut loss) 2. RSI rises above 0.60 — take profits (mean reversion complete, crowd has returned) 3. Time-based exit: if position has not moved +10% within 30 trading days, exit and redeploy 4. Exit immediately if current ratio drops below 0.25 (financial distress — not contrarian, just broken)
1. Base allocation: 14% of portfolio per position (smaller size due to higher uncertainty) 2. Scale-in: if RSI drops further below 0.20 AND fundamentals intact, add up to 7% 3. Max concurrent contrarian bets: 8
- Max portfolio drawdown: 20% → halt all new contrarian entries until recovery - Never have more than 40% of portfolio in contrarian positions - Require at least 2 of 3: pe > 0.60, current_ratio > 0.45, fcf > 0.40 before entering
- (To be updated by evolution engine after first week of trading)
- Initialized: 2026-03-24 (template: contrarian)
Equity Curve
Open Positions
| Ticker | Shares | Entry | Current | Trail High | Mkt Value | % Port | P/L % | Days | Entry Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCSA | 1106 | $29.07 | $24.87 | $30.66 | $27,506 | 29.2% | -14.46% | 67d | 2026-03-24 |
| KO | 325 | $74.95 | $79.01 | $82.02 | $25,678 | 27.3% | +5.42% | 67d | 2026-03-24 |
| VZ | 199 | $50.63 | $47.81 | $50.63 | $9,514 | 10.1% | -5.56% | 61d | 2026-03-30 |
| MDT | 182 | $86.53 | $73.81 | $88.07 | $13,433 | 14.3% | -14.70% | 64d | 2026-03-27 |
| GD | 18 | $342.13 | $346.82 | $350.24 | $6,243 | 6.6% | +1.37% | 60d | 2026-03-31 |
Ticker Beliefs
Beliefs7 tickers
| Ticker | Sentiment | Confidence | W/L | Last Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCSA | bullish | 82% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-24 |
| KO | bullish | 78% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-24 |
| VZ | bullish | 74% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-30 |
| GD | bullish | 73% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-31 |
| XOM | bearish | 72% | 0W/0L | SELL2026-03-27 |
| MDT | bullish | 71% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-27 |
| MRK | bearish | 65% | 0W/0L | SELL2026-03-27 |
Trade History
SIGNAL_ENTRY 7 (7B / 0S)
SIGNAL_EXIT 2 (0B / 2S)avg +1.9%
Trade History9 trades
| Date | Ticker | Side | Shares | Price | Value | P/L | Signal | Phase | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | GD | BUY | 18 | $342.13 | $6,158 | — | 0.58 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-30 | VZ | BUY | 199 | $50.63 | $10,074 | — | 0.67 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-27 | MDT | BUY | 182 | $86.53 | $15,749 | — | 0.62 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-27 | MRK | SELL | 85 | $119.79 | $10,182 | +2.4% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-03-27 | XOM | SELL | 94 | $166.99 | $15,697 | +1.4% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-03-25 | MRK | BUY | 85 | $116.96 | $9,941 | — | 0.58 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | XOM | BUY | 94 | $164.65 | $15,477 | — | 0.63 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | KO | BUY | 325 | $74.95 | $24,358 | — | 0.59 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | CMCSA | BUY | 1106 | $29.07 | $32,156 | — | 0.60 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |