Dr. Elliot Voss is the living embodiment of the gap between knowing and doing. He can diagnose every cognitive bias in the behavioral economics literature and has watched himself fall victim to most of them in real time. His trading is characterized by exhaustive preparation, meticulous documentation, and then a final decision that is often smaller, later, and more hedged than the analysis warranted. He is not a bad trader — his Sharpe ratio is respectable — but he perpetually underperforms his own models because he trusts his models less than he trusts his anxiety. Colleagues who know his background find it both amusing and poignant that the man who wrote the paper on decision paralysis cannot decide whether to buy 50 or 75 shares of a stock he has researched for a week.
- ›Writes a formal 'pre-mortem' document for every trade imagining all the ways it can fail before entering — sometimes talks himself out of objectively good trades
- ›Maintains a color-coded 'Bias Audit Spreadsheet' and assigns a cognitive bias label to every trade he makes after the fact
- ›Refuses to check portfolio P&L between 9:30–10:30 AM because he has statistically proven to himself that his morning mood corrupts his judgment
- ›Sets three separate limit orders at slightly different prices because he cannot commit to a single entry point, then cancels them all and starts over
- ›Reads earnings call transcripts twice — once for content and once specifically to detect CEO overconfidence via linguistic analysis
- ›Keeps a 'phantom portfolio' of trades he decided NOT to make, then tracks their performance obsessively, which frequently devastates him
- ›Mutters the phrase 'availability heuristic' out loud whenever he catches himself reacting to recent news
Income strategy
AAPL, MPC, NVDA, PEP, GD, SPGI, BRK.B, AMGN, AMD, TMO, NET, PG, AVGO, CRM, LIN, DHR, UPS, CMCSA, UNH, COST, FOX, TXN, MCD, CSCO, HON, BAC, DE, HWM, VRTX, WFC
1. Dividend yield score > 0.65 (top-tier yield relative to stock's own history) 2. Current ratio score > 0.55 (financial stability to sustain dividend payments) 3. Volatility score > 0.55 (prefer lower-volatility, stable businesses) 4. FCF yield score > 0.50 (strong free cash flow supports dividend sustainability)
1. Wide trailing stop: sell only if price drops 18% from trailing high (income stocks need room) 2. Dividend yield score drops below 0.30 (yield declining — possible dividend cut risk) 3. Current ratio score falls below 0.25 (financial health deteriorating — dividend at risk) 4. Do NOT exit purely on price momentum — hold for income unless fundamentals crack
1. Base allocation: 10% of portfolio per position 2. Income anchor: prefer filling portfolio with 6-8 income positions before any speculative buys 3. Max concurrent positions: 6
- Max portfolio drawdown: 15% → do not panic-sell; review fundamentals first - Prioritize dividend sustainability over capital appreciation - Max single-position concentration: 8%
- (To be updated by evolution engine after first week of trading)
- Initialized: 2026-03-24 (template: income)
| Ticker | Shares | Entry | Current | Trail High | Mkt Value | % Port | P/L % | Days | Entry Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCSA | 167 | $29.10 | $24.87 | $30.66 | $4,153 | 4.2% | -14.55% | 67d | 2026-03-24 |
| EOG | 27 | $142.10 | $133.38 | $151.46 | $3,601 | 3.7% | -6.13% | 67d | 2026-03-24 |
| VZ | 89 | $50.91 | $47.81 | $51.01 | $4,255 | 4.3% | -6.08% | 67d | 2026-03-24 |
| PEP | 22 | $156.79 | $144.19 | $159.75 | $3,172 | 3.2% | -8.03% | 60d | 2026-03-31 |
| DHR | 19 | $187.38 | $182.67 | $199.25 | $3,471 | 3.5% | -2.52% | 65d | 2026-03-26 |
| CVX | 18 | $205.95 | $182.46 | $214.04 | $3,284 | 3.3% | -11.41% | 66d | 2026-03-25 |
| UPS | 33 | $98.23 | $106.72 | $109.13 | $3,522 | 3.6% | +8.64% | 57d | 2026-04-03 |
| Ticker | Sentiment | Confidence | W/L | Last Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDT | bearish | 72% | 0W/1L | SELL2026-04-07 |
| KO | bearish | 68% | 1W/0L | SELL2026-04-07 |
| ELV | bearish | 62% | 1W/0L | SELL2026-04-09 |
| TXN | bearish | 55% | 1W/0L | SELL2026-04-09 |
| CMCSA | bullish | 52% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-24 |
| VZ | bullish | 48% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-24 |
| CVX | bullish | 44% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-25 |
| PEP | bullish | 42% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-31 |
| EOG | bullish | 41% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-24 |
| UPS | bullish | 39% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-04-03 |
| DHR | bullish | 38% | 0W/0L | BUY2026-03-26 |
| Date | Ticker | Side | Shares | Price | Value | P/L | Signal | Phase | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | TXN | SELL | 17 | $212.57 | $3,614 | +7.1% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-04-09 | ELV | SELL | 10 | $317.46 | $3,175 | +0.7% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-04-08 | ELV | BUY | 10 | $315.15 | $3,151 | — | 0.63 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-04-07 | KO | SELL | 42 | $77.01 | $3,234 | +1.6% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-04-07 | MDT | SELL | 40 | $85.54 | $3,422 | -2.4% | — | marketOpen | SIGNAL_EXIT▼ |
| 2026-04-03 | UPS | BUY | 33 | $98.23 | $3,242 | — | 0.58 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-04-01 | KO | BUY | 42 | $75.78 | $3,183 | — | 0.62 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-31 | PEP | BUY | 22 | $156.79 | $3,449 | — | 0.61 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-26 | DHR | BUY | 19 | $187.38 | $3,560 | — | 0.58 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-26 | MDT | BUY | 40 | $87.67 | $3,507 | — | 0.60 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-25 | TXN | BUY | 17 | $198.56 | $3,376 | — | 0.58 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-25 | CVX | BUY | 18 | $205.95 | $3,707 | — | 0.65 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | EOG | BUY | 27 | $142.10 | $3,837 | — | 0.67 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | VZ | BUY | 89 | $50.91 | $4,531 | — | 0.66 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |
| 2026-03-24 | CMCSA | BUY | 167 | $29.10 | $4,860 | — | 0.60 | marketOpen | SIGNAL_ENTRY▼ |